Using software that amalgamates published polls shows a tight race between the NDP and Conservatives
The upcoming 2024 British Columbia provincial election is shaping up to be highly competitive, with the BC NDP and the BC Conservatives neck and neck in the latest polling.
The election is scheduled for October 19, 2024, with advance voting starting on October 10.
What follows is a summary calculated combining all recently published polling data for the 2024 British Columbia provincial election:
BC NDP: 45% of decided voters
BC Conservatives: 44% of decided voters
BC Greens: 9% of decided voters
Party Leader Approval Ratings:
David Eby (BC NDP): 54% approval
John Rustad (BC Conservatives): 45% approval
Sonia Furstenau (BC Greens): 42% approval
Regional Breakdown:
Metro Vancouver: The BC NDP leads, holding 40% of support, while the Conservatives trail with 30%.
Vancouver Island: Strong BC NDP support at 49%, with the Conservatives at 39%.
Fraser Valley: Tight race, with the Conservatives leading slightly at 40%, compared to 39% for the BC NDP.
Northern BC: Close contest with the BC NDP at 38% and the Conservatives at 40%.
Southern BC: Conservatives narrowly ahead with 39%, compared to the BC NDP’s 37%.
Combining published data, the most recent projections as of early October 2024 suggest the following:
BC Conservatives: 47 seats (possible range of 37–57)
BC NDP: 45 seats (possible range of 33–57)
BC Greens: 1 seat (possible range of 0–2)
BC United: 0 seats
Urban areas tend to lean towards the NDP while the rural areas generally favor Conservatives.
The results presented are an amalgamation of data from three or more sources.
By combining these sources, the overview provides a multi-faceted and comprehensive look at the BC provincial election landscape as of early October 2024.
BC Provincial Election Still A Tight Race
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